Week 2 is the first week we get a real look at how teams actually plan to use people, and the sheets pick up on it fast. These five come off the PropsEdge TD Scorers, Prop Streaks, Line Shopping and Route Mismatches sheets, which is the same set a subscriber pulls every week.
The receipts are printed under each pick, so you can see the streaks, the usage shares and the price comparison that put the name on the board. Read them before you read my sentences about them. If a bullet does not convince you, skip the pick.
The picks for Week 2
Chase Brown, Anytime TD (+115 at Fanatics)
- 4 GAME TD STREAK
- 62% TD HIT RATE L8G
- 1.12 TDS/GAME L8G
- 46% RZ CARRIES
- CIN @ HOU, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: TD Scorers cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
Brown is on the TD Scorers sheet because of the job, not the vibes: he has taken 46% RZ CARRIES, which is most of what Cincinnati hands off inside the twenty. A back with that kind of goal-line share getting a plus price is the shape of bet this sheet exists to find. The touchdown streak behind it is nice, but the usage is the part that carries into Houston.
Jacoby Brissett, Pass TDs Over 0.5 (-278 at Bally Bet)
- OVER IN 13 STRAIGHT
- 100% OVER L10
- 87% OVER L15G
- 100% HIT RATE VS 74% BREAK-EVEN AT -278
- SEA @ ARI, Sun 4:25pm ET
Source: Prop Streaks cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
Over in 13 straight is about as clean as the Prop Streaks sheet gets, and it is a low bar: Arizona only needs one throw to find the end zone against Seattle. Be honest about what you are buying at -278, though. This pays very little when it lands and costs a full stake when Arizona settles for field goals, so it belongs in the pile as a small piece, not the anchor.
Sean Tucker, Anytime TD (+360 at Bally Bet)
- +360 at Bally Bet vs +196 consensus
- 12.1 pts of price better than the market across 9 books
- Next best: +360 at betPARX
- CLE @ TB, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: Line Shopping cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
This one is a price play first. The Line Shopping sheet flags Tucker at +360 at Bally Bet while the rest of the market prices the same outcome considerably shorter across nine books. betPARX matches it, so you have a second place to get down if the number moves. Nothing about Tucker's role changed; what changed is what you get paid for the same ticket.
Rome Odunze, Rec Yds Over 39.5 (-116 at Bet365)
- 50% GO ROUTES — MIN #32 VS ROUTE
- 50% SLANTS — MIN #29 VS ROUTE
- 70% OVER L10
- 70% HIT RATE VS 54% BREAK-EVEN AT -116
- MIN @ CHI, Sun 1:00pm ET
Source: Route Mismatches cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
Minnesota grades #32 against the go route, and that is exactly half of what Odunze runs, with his slants pointed at another soft spot in the same coverage. Route mismatches like this do not need a target explosion to clear a modest yardage line; two of the deep looks connecting gets it there. His recent hit rate on this market sits comfortably above what -116 asks for.
Kyren Williams, Anytime TD (-125 at Fanatics)
- 4 GAME TD STREAK
- 62% TD HIT RATE L8G
- 0.88 TDS/GAME L8G
- 66% RZ CARRIES
- NYG @ LAR, Mon 8:15pm ET
Source: TD Scorers cheat sheet (free preview, no account needed) · open in the app
Williams has 66% RZ CARRIES, which is the highest goal-line share of anyone on this week's board, and the Rams get the Giants on Monday night. The price is short because everyone can see the role, so this is a low-payout, high-frequency piece rather than a swing. If Los Angeles spends the evening in scoring position, he is the one finishing it.
The free column is a slice. A subscriber gets all of the sheets every week rather than five names off them, projections for every game on the slate, the pick builder for stacking correlated legs without kidding yourself about the price, and the line-shopping feed that found the Tucker number before it settled. That last one matters more than any single read: the same bet at a better number is the cheapest edge in this business. Bet what you can afford to lose. If it stops being fun, stop.